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PRESS RELEASE OF 29th SEPTEMBER 1996

Every year, Indians pay Rs 34,000 crore due to the effects of massive environmental degradation, which will eventually threaten our future generations and is already affecting the health of the present generation. Water and air pollution immediately impose a heavy health cost, which is Rs 24,500 crore every year. Of this, health costs due to water pollution alone is Rs 19,950 crore each year. However, even this is definitely a very conservative figure 

Cities are choking with industrial and vehicular pollution. Some 40,000 people die in six Indian cities every year as a result of air pollution; Delhi accounts for 7,500 of these. Clean drinking water is in most cases still a dream; premature deaths and debilitating diseases are common; land degradation is widespread, impacting on agricultural output; forest cover is getting depleted; international tourists are staying away, causing revenue loss....The price we pay for premature deaths and mass illness -- based on a study by two World Bank staffers, Carter Brandon and Kirsten Hommann -- is estimated to be around Rs 4,585 crore annually. We pay this price for hurtling down the path of unsustainable development based on lopsided developmental priorities. And this cost is being borne as much by the poor as by the middle class, says a report published in Down To Earth. 

Whereas the former Union finance minister, Dr Manmohan Singh, had earned plaudits claiming that India had achieved an economic growth rate of four per cent in 1995, the figure for annual economic losses (Rs 34,000 crore) is about 4.5 per cent of the gross domestic product. This means that the entire economic growth for the year was wiped out, and development had taken place solely at the expense of the environment. 

The Down To Earth analysis of the Brandon and Hommann study, written by Anil Agarwal, Director, Centre for Science and Environment, however, shows that economic losses due to environmental degradation have been grossly underestimated, sometimes due to lack of adequate data, or due to ignoring some issues completely. Despite that, the picture of losses is extremely distressing. Had the total picture been available, it would be unthinkable. 

Killing figures 
For instance, in computing economic loss due to water pollution, the study does not take into consideration the increase in the cost of supplying water due to growing pollution. The price of supplying one cubic metre of clean drinking water in Bangalore in the current water supply scheme is Rs 3.50., whereas in the next  scheme it will double to over Rs 7.00. Similarly, in Hyderabad the cost will zoom from Rs 7.00 in the current scheme to over Rs 18.00 in the next scheme. 

Figures related to water supply and sanitation are based on government data, which claims that 73 per cent of Indians have access to safe drinking water, and 14 per cent to sanitation. But this could be a gross distortion of the real picture. Water purification in India deals mainly with organic pollution, but not with the toxic industrial effluents. The real costs could be far higher than what Brandon and Hommann have shown, because the study did not even take into account the cost imposed by cancer because of the lack of data. 

Six Indian cities, Ahmedabad, Bombay, Calcutta, Delhi, Kanpur and Nagpur, have an annual average of total suspended particulates (tsp) at least three times as high as the World Health Organization (who) standards, which means they suffer from severe air pollution. tsp and pm 10 (particles less than 10 microns in diametre, which can penetrate more easily and are, therefore, more relevant than total particulate matter for human health) have been associated with both premature deaths (resulting from respiratory illness and cardiovascular diseases) and increased morbidity (high incidence of chronic obstructive lung diseases). 

However, even in the case of accounting for health costs due to air pollution, there are lacunae in data. There is a clear lack of regular monitoring of ambient air quality in Indian cities, and the estimates of the extent of pollutants in the air may be far more. For instance ozone, a dangerous air pollutant, is not even measured in Indian cities. (Even from what data we have, carbon monoxide emissions in many cities are often 50 times higher  than who standards.) Besides, the authors of the study admit that their figures could be conservative, because they have used Western standards on the impact of a certain level of  pollution on individuals, but health and nutritional standards of Indians being far poorer, this dose-response analysis could be on the low side. 

The study also reveals that per capita air pollution costs are often higher for smaller cities like Agra. Besides, in every Indian city the conditions are worsening due to the fast burgeoning vehicular population. Clearly, here too, the b&h study reveals only the tip of the iceberg. 

Hidden costs 
Four to 6.3 per cent of the total annual agricultural output of India is lost due to land degradation, which in money terms works out to between Rs 5,250 crore and Rs 8,480 crore each year. "This stresses the need for immediate investment in soil conservation and land regeneration," Agarwal emphasises in his analysis. 

Deforestation has also cost us dearly. There are many methodological problems in calculating the cost of deforestation, but Agarwal says the cost of annual regeneration of forests arrived at by the b&h study is low, at Rs 641 crore to Rs 854 crore. 

The study also argues that since the inflow of international tourists is heavily dependent on the latter's trust in the air and water quality of a tourist destination, India's devastated environment is demotivating many of them from visiting this country. Considering an estimated 10 to 20 per cent annual reduction in foreign tourist inflow, the revenue loss from this sector is estimated at the rate of Rs 491 crore and Rs 997 every year. 

There are many other important areas which have not been touched upon at all in the Brandon and Hommann report. For instance, deforestation affects hydrological cycles and fodder availability, resulting in greater fluctuations in rainfall, leading to more intense floods and droughts. Destruction of wetlands in the Gangetic basin is a principle cause for increased floods. But this subject has not been tackled at all. 

The most fearsome problem is water pollution, and, as the Down To Earth analysis puts it, "this means (that) massive health problems like cancer and reproductive and endocrinal disorders in the future will creep upon this country slowly and exercise a growing impact on future generations". Today, the poor may be suffering these costs more disproportionately, but it is being borne equally by the middle class, "which is the crassest in the world, which equates life with only worldly goods.... It is this class which must now wake up, confront the reality it is responsible for and do all it can to change it", Agarwal concludes.

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